Election 2024 Predictions Uk . Editor’s note (july 5th 2024): As the polls closed after the 2024 general election vote, our data science teams modeled how that historic exit poll and early results would translate to every seat in the country.
Kamala harris moved into a narrow lead in our final update, with her chance of winning rising from 50% to 56%. There has been a small but noticeable narrowing in the polls, writes senior political analyst peter barnes.
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